On the other hand,上海会所he past, the Fed now has t

to take the delayed effect of balance sheet reduction conducted earlier into its consideration of rate cuts. The current phase-out of balanc

上海会所e sheet reduction already has some easing effect, and only after the balance sheet reduction ends in September, can its impact become clearer.

By incorporating that impact into consideration, the Fed can draw up a better rate cut plan that maximizes effects of the policy mix.上海会所

Thirdly, the market may have overestimated how much the Fed will cut the rates. There may be no more than three rate cuts by the end of 2020.

St. Louis Fed President James Bullard – the major advocate of this

round of rate cut – has suggested the use of the modern-day Taylor rule, which fairly well explains th上海会所

e Fed’s interest rate decisions. Even based on this model adopted by dovish Fed officials, we found that the degree of rate cuts may be weaker than m

上海会所arket expectation for quite some time going forward: at most one cut by the end of this year and likely two or three cuts by the end of 2020.

By contrast, before the June FOMC meeting, the market expected a higher-than-85-percent chance of more than one rate cut by the

end of this year as well as an about 60-percent chance of more than three cuts by the end of 2020, according to Bloomberg data.上海会所品茶微信

In conclusion, we think as economic downside pressure gradually emerges, the Fed will have to kick off the rate cut cycle. But the rate cut si上海会所品茶微信

gnal, timing and degree may not measure up to the market expectation. Therefore, two future developments appear possible:

First, investor sentiment can reverse drastically if the Fed’s action fails to meet market expec上海会所品茶微信

tation. Considering the market has fully priced in the unrealistic expectation of rate cuts sinc

e early June, any reversal of expectation can lead to short-term fluctuations of key price signals such as the US Treasury yield cu

rve, the US Dollar Index, and the gold price, which may pose extensive spillover shocks to asset portfolios.

Second, the long-term trend of rate cuts will continue even if the market expectation reverses. In the long

run, the Fed is expected to proceed with rate cuts in a fairly slow and smooth way. This will enlarge the monetary policy room of ot

her major economies and expedite the shift toward an easing global monetary environment, which may in turn lift the sen

timent of global stock markets and ease any currency risk of emerging markets gradually.

Cheng Shi is the managing director, head of research and chief economist of ICBC Interna

tional Holdings Ltd.Qian Zhijun is a senior economist of ICBC International Holdings Ltd.

chitudoudemao.cn

She said whoever as上海会所品茶微信rship should be stro

strong and popu上海会所品茶微信lar enough and able to connect with European citizens

who showed the highest turnout in 20 years in the elections for the European Parliament in late May.

“They should be able to work in an efficient manner with world leaders and be strong enough to galvani

ze worldwide support. We live in a very challenging world, and Europe needs strong and effective leadership,” Islam said.

There have been major disagreements between leaders of the two major member states. German Chancellor Angela Merkel favors the process of lead candi

date, known as Spitzenkandidaten in German. She supported Manfred Weber, the lead candidate of the center-ri

ght EPP, the largest bloc in the European Parliament, a bloc of which Merkel is a member.

But French President Emmanuel Macron and some other EU leaders oppose Weber to replace Jean-Claude Juncker as president of European Commission.

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eijing to keep investigating C上海会所品茶微信boat collisio

Beijing said on Mo上海会所品茶微信nday it will continue to investigate thoro

ughly and carefully the collision of Chinese and Filipino boats in the

South China Sea, and handle the incident properly with Ma

nila based on facts and in a cooperative and friendly manner.

A Chinese fishing boat and a Filipino fishing boat collided accident

ally in the waters near Liyuetan in the South China Sea

early Monday morning, Foreign Ministry spokesman Lu Kang said.

Extending China’s condolences to the Filipino fishermen who expe

rienced the collision, Lu emphasized the collision wa

s an accident, and said China and the Philippines have communicated several times over the incident.

shlfbe.com

ing addresses the 1上海会所女神会所 Council of Heads of

President calls 上海会所女神会所on members to support regional links to Belt and Road Initiative

Members of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization should follow the trend of economic globalization and

build the SCO into a community with a shared future, President Xi Jinping said on Friday.

Xi made the remark while delivering a speech at the 19th

meeting of the Council of Heads of State of the SCO in Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan’s capital.

SCO members should promote the multilateral trading system, buil

d an open global economy and put forward more policies to facilitate trade and investment, he said.

Xi proposed making full use of cooperation platforms such as the China Intern

ational Import Expo to promote the openness, exchanges and integration of regional economies.

www.fangzhenjiang.cn

tries virtual reality technology in a smart classroom prim

Use of new tec上海会所品茶微信hnologies in online education is breaking boundaries for the nation’s students

Yang Ming, a 33-year-old immobile and partially sighted man from

Chengde, Hebei province, never imagined he could become his family’s “financial adviser”.

However, in late April, he noticed trouble brewing in the financial stat

ements of a company whose stock was owned by his relatives, so he advised selling the shares.

Although they were reluctant at first, his relatives sol上海会所品茶微信d the s

hares at a slight loss, but kept most of their 4,000 yuan ($578) investment intact.

A short time later, the company’s stock went into free fall when the Shanghai Stock Exchange plunged as a result of risi

ng uncertainty over trade negotiations between China and the United States.

guapogang.cn

I must stress that Taiwan is an inseparable part of Chin

na, and the one-China principle is the foundation of China-US relations and an international consensus,” Shao said.

“The US side has conducted a series of negative rhetoric and actions regarding the Taiwan questi

on, violated the one-China principle and the three China-US joint communiques,” he said.

“This has undermined China’s sovereignty and security, sent a seriously wrong message to

Taiwan secessionists, and disrupted regional peace and stability,” Shao said, adding that China must, and will be, reunified.

“If anyone tries to separate Taiwan from the mainlan

d, the Chinese military will adamantly protect its territorial integrity at all costs,” he said.

As for the South China Sea, Shanahan accused China of undermini

ng freedom of navigation and overflight in the region, and militarizing the local islands.

qe78w.cn

Lieutenant General Shao Yuanming, deputy chief of

f the Joint Staff Department of China’s Central Military Commission, said in an afternoon media briefing on behalf of the Chinese delegation that the People’s Lib

eration Army appreciates the US’ willingness to communicate and maintain a stable China-US military relationship.

However, Shao said Shanahan also made some inaccurate claims on China’s military d

evelopment and strategic intentions in his speech, “and the PLA resolutely opposes these accusations”.

Regarding the Taiwan question, the US side has reiterated its

military support to the island based on the so-called Taiwan Relation Act.

“I must stress that Taiwan is an inseparable part of China, and the one-China p

rinciple is the foundation of China-US relations and an international consensus,” Shao said.

ecimy.cn

The Global Times called the face-off of the two ancho

orwomen “friendly, meaningful talks. Both agreed: trade war is bad! (For Trish, that’s a change of hea

rt, since she had tried to justify the US trade war against China.)”, it said on its Twitter account.

A Twitter user, Ryan Bryant @RayCaiYan, said in a reply to Regan’s tweet, “That was not even a DEBATE, more like a Q&A session

. I thought Trish could leverage some of Liu’s answers to discuss the issues further, but sadly she couldn’t.”

FionaXu tweeted: The American hostess is talking about free market. Tell me how American

market is “free” under Trump’s government? You mean protectionism equals free market???”

Jon Taylor, a professor of political science of the University of St. Thomas in Houston, said that while they pretty muc

h disagreed on everything, it offered US viewers the chance to actually hear the Chinese side of the issues.

www.ax132.cn

The world’s second-largest economy maintained its fore

eign exchange reserves at $3.095 trillion at the end of April. The reserve amount was stable, altho

ugh it slightly retreated from $3.098 trillion at the end of March, according to the State Administration of Foreign Exchange.

Li Yang, director of the National Institution for Finance and Development of the Chinese Academy

of Social Sciences, said that China is unlikely to sacrifice foreign exchange reserves to de

fend its currency, even if depreciation pressure rises amid any escalation in trade tension.

In May, the offshore RMB exchange rate against the US dollar dropped more than 3 percen

t under market pressure as global investors worried about the escalation of trade friction.

Guo Shuqing, Party secretary of the People’s Bank of China, the central bank, said on Monday that higher US tariffs on Chin

a’s imports triggered financial market volatility, and this also affected the offshore RMB.

www.sh419tv.com

By late April, China had been hit by 129 African swin

fever outbreaks, affecting all 31 provinces, municipalities and autonomous regions on the mainland, since the country’s first reported outb

reak in Shenyang, Liaoning province, in August, according to the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs.

This resulted in more than 1 million pigs being slaughtered to prevent and control the disease, which is deadly to pigs but does no

t affect people. The ministry has called for intensified research and development to expedite the availability of v

accines for disease prevention and control, but admitted difficulties due to the complex nature of the virus.

China is the world’s largest producer and consumer of pork, with an a

nnual production of 700 million pigs. Pork accounts for 62 percent of meat con

sumption in China, and sustained outbreaks of African swine fever will cause devastating consequences to the pi

g industry and endanger China’s food security, the Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences said.

ashkk.com